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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+1.04vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.61+0.92vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10-0.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.62-2.72vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57-2.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University-0.08-2.89vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.48-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.04University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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4.92Bates College0.610.1%1st Place
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4.11Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.28Salve Regina University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.98Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Jordan | 24.3% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| James Amaral | 23.6% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Peter Galloway | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 10.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Bridget Lawless | 19.8% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 11.6% |
| Patrick Buehler | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 30.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 24.2% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.