Race 4A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Hutchings 12.7% 16.2% 15.2% 13.3% 16.0% 11.2% 8.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Towill 32.5% 20.7% 17.6% 12.0% 8.5% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 7.9% 9.7% 10.5% 12.3% 12.1% 12.4% 15.8% 10.5% 6.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Rollins 7.2% 6.5% 9.4% 10.1% 10.8% 13.6% 15.1% 15.1% 8.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 12.5% 14.7% 13.5% 13.8% 13.5% 11.7% 9.2% 7.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 10.9% 12.5% 13.1% 14.1% 11.9% 13.7% 11.0% 6.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.7% 3.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.6% 6.3% 9.8% 15.3% 21.7% 20.9% 8.8% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.7% 16.2% 15.2% 13.3% 16.0% 11.2% 8.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 9.5% 10.3% 12.3% 13.5% 13.1% 12.3% 10.8% 11.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 5.3% 11.3% 23.8% 48.8% 0.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.8% 5.9% 14.3% 30.7% 34.5% 0.0%
Nathan Stevens 2.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 5.6% 8.7% 9.8% 17.1% 22.9% 15.2% 6.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.