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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+3.98vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.62+1.23vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.10+0.03vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.61-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.48+0.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73-3.98vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.74-4.93vs Predicted
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10Yale University-0.08-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.23Salve Regina University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.03Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.95Bates College0.610.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.02Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.07University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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6.01Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 19.7% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 14.1% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Peter Galloway | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 10.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 48.4% |
| Zachary Jordan | 21.6% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| James Amaral | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Buehler | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 28.5% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.