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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+1.03vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.62+0.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73-1.90vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.61-1.99vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-3.95vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
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10Yale University-0.08-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.03University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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3.2Salve Regina University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.1Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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5.01Bates College0.610.1%1st Place
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4.05Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 9.9% |
| James Amaral | 22.8% | 22.5% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Lawless | 21.6% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Jordan | 22.8% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter Galloway | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 9.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 19.5% | 49.7% |
| Patrick Buehler | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.