← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire1.74+1.95vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.73+1.06vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.62-0.79vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.610.00vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.57-0.95vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.10-2.93vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
-
10Yale University-0.08-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
-
3.06Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
-
3.21Salve Regina University1.620.2%1st Place
-
5.0Bates College0.610.1%1st Place
-
5.05Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
-
4.07Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
6.67University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
5.99Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Amaral | 25.0% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Jordan | 22.6% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Lawless | 21.1% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Peter Galloway | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 9.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 10.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 50.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 27.3% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.