← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire1.23+2.29vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.39+1.08vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.64-0.25vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.59-1.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut-0.18+0.41vs Predicted
-
7Yale University-0.45-1.28vs Predicted
-
8Brown University0.06-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
-
3.08Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
-
2.75Northeastern University1.640.2%1st Place
-
2.84Salve Regina University1.590.3%1st Place
-
5.41University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.72Yale University-0.450.0%1st Place
-
4.92Brown University0.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Borovick | 18.0% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Caroline King | 19.8% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 24.5% | 24.5% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 25.7% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 26.4% | 32.1% |
| Jonathan Schwartz | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 43.8% |
| Juan Briano | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 21.0% | 28.0% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.