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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.23+2.27vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.18+2.35vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.64-1.20vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39-1.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.06-1.95vs Predicted
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8Yale University-0.45-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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2.79Salve Regina University1.590.3%1st Place
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5.35University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.8Northeastern University1.640.3%1st Place
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3.16Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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5.05Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Borovick | 18.6% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Joey Lark | 25.2% | 22.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 26.7% | 31.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 25.1% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Caroline King | 18.4% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Juan Briano | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 26.0% | 22.1% |
| Jonathan Schwartz | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.