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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.85+8.63vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.40+1.80vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.67+3.21vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+2.18vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.82+0.77vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.76+2.74vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.15+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.08-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.34-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-4.29vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.52-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.04-3.90vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.33-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.8University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.21Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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7.18Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.77Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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9.74Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.74Jacksonville University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida1.040.0%1st Place
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4.89Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainsley Parramore | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Douglas | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Peirson | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Isabella Lemole | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| Ian Hunter | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% |
| Max Thompson | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Scotti | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Zoe Knowles | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 28.6% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| Andre Guaragna | 14.0% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.