Race 5A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mark Towill 31.8% 24.6% 15.4% 11.9% 6.8% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 11.8% 14.4% 16.5% 13.5% 13.3% 13.6% 9.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 9.8% 9.7% 11.4% 11.0% 14.9% 15.2% 16.3% 8.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
William Hutchings 14.0% 15.8% 16.6% 16.7% 13.5% 11.5% 7.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Rollins 8.8% 8.1% 9.1% 11.0% 13.0% 14.5% 17.5% 11.9% 5.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 11.9% 12.4% 13.4% 14.4% 14.9% 12.3% 12.1% 6.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 14.0% 15.8% 16.6% 16.7% 13.5% 11.5% 7.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 7.7% 11.1% 12.2% 14.7% 14.0% 15.0% 13.5% 8.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.4% 2.3% 3.8% 3.6% 5.0% 7.1% 11.3% 28.8% 24.9% 10.8% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 4.5% 10.6% 28.6% 48.7% 0.0%
Natalie Fohl 1.0% 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 5.1% 13.4% 33.1% 38.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.