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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.20+4.39vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.82+4.40vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.76+6.92vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.67+3.23vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.15+3.86vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69+1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.40-3.10vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.34-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.04-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-4.31vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.52-2.44vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.33-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.4Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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9.92Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.23Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.9University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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8.33University of Miami1.340.1%1st Place
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9.26University of South Florida1.040.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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4.93Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Famiglietti | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Peirson | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Isabella Lemole | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% |
| Cameron Douglas | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Ian Hunter | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Max Thompson | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Scotti | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% |
| Zoe Knowles | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 26.8% |
| Andre Guaragna | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.