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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Famiglietti 10.7% 12.4% 13.1% 10.6% 9.5% 9.0% 8.0% 7.3% 5.2% 5.1% 3.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Samuel Peirson 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 7.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.5% 9.4% 7.6% 5.6% 3.7% 3.4% 1.5%
Isabella Lemole 3.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 4.5% 4.7% 6.4% 3.8% 4.3% 7.2% 9.6% 12.3% 16.1% 18.8%
Cameron Douglas 5.5% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 9.2% 7.1% 8.7% 6.9% 8.9% 10.1% 6.4% 4.4% 2.8%
Ian Hunter 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 5.5% 6.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 8.3% 9.5% 9.4% 11.1% 10.5% 10.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 7.3% 5.0% 7.4% 6.5% 9.1% 9.6% 7.1% 8.7% 8.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 5.7% 2.8%
Max Thompson 10.7% 11.9% 10.9% 11.1% 8.8% 7.7% 8.9% 8.3% 7.2% 5.7% 3.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Michael Sanandajian 15.2% 14.0% 11.6% 11.9% 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 6.7% 5.7% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Andrew Scotti 5.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.8% 5.1% 7.1% 6.9% 8.5% 9.3% 9.3% 10.6% 9.3% 8.5% 6.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 3.3% 3.5% 2.8% 4.2% 5.5% 5.5% 5.9% 7.5% 8.4% 7.4% 9.3% 11.4% 13.8% 11.5%
Kyle Magno 8.5% 5.9% 9.3% 9.0% 7.9% 8.3% 9.5% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 6.1% 5.9% 3.7% 2.0%
Ainsley Parramore 2.8% 3.4% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 5.5% 7.2% 7.0% 9.4% 10.1% 10.6% 13.1% 16.8%
Zoe Knowles 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4.3% 4.0% 6.3% 6.2% 8.5% 11.6% 15.9% 26.8%
Andre Guaragna 13.0% 14.8% 11.7% 10.9% 11.1% 8.9% 7.9% 6.9% 5.1% 4.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.