← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.40+3.85vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.33+2.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.08+2.79vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.67+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.76+5.03vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.82+0.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.82-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.15+0.77vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University1.69-1.86vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.04-0.71vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida0.52-0.25vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College0.85-2.24vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami1.34-4.91vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida2.20-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.85University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.91Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.79University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.19Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
-
10.03Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
-
6.73Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.4University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.77Jacksonville University1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.14Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.29University of South Florida1.040.0%1st Place
-
10.75University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.76Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of Miami1.340.1%1st Place
-
5.31University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sanandajian | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andre Guaragna | 14.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Thompson | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Douglas | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Lemole | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 19.4% |
| Samuel Peirson | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Ian Hunter | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
| Zoe Knowles | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 28.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.