Race 1B

sp-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ian Willoughby 13.1% 13.3% 10.7% 13.2% 12.9% 12.1% 8.8% 7.0% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Daniel Vail 8.2% 9.4% 12.2% 11.1% 9.7% 10.1% 12.0% 10.8% 8.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Preston Senior 16.5% 13.2% 15.3% 12.5% 11.9% 9.8% 9.9% 5.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Chase Burwell 22.9% 22.9% 15.7% 12.8% 10.4% 6.1% 4.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
David Perez 8.5% 8.6% 8.7% 10.2% 10.7% 12.0% 9.5% 11.1% 10.8% 6.5% 3.4% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 6.8% 6.7% 6.2% 8.1% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 11.9% 14.1% 10.6% 4.2% 0.4%
David Beaudry 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 10.0% 13.2% 11.2% 10.8% 3.9% 0.5%
Christopher Deleon 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 4.6% 5.9% 7.5% 10.3% 23.6% 27.6% 5.6%
Margaret MacCormack 5.1% 6.7% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 11.1% 11.7% 11.9% 12.7% 9.6% 3.5% 0.3%
Mitchell Powell 7.5% 7.8% 9.0% 8.1% 10.3% 9.2% 11.6% 12.7% 11.8% 7.4% 4.4% 0.2%
John MacMoyle 1.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 3.9% 4.9% 4.6% 8.0% 18.2% 41.7% 9.5%
Jacob Hickson 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.9% 3.1% 8.3% 83.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.