Race 2B

sp-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ian Willoughby 12.8% 12.0% 12.6% 12.9% 12.8% 11.3% 9.5% 7.1% 5.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
David Beaudry 5.1% 8.5% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 11.2% 10.3% 12.9% 11.6% 11.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Preston Senior 16.5% 12.6% 14.9% 14.3% 10.9% 10.8% 9.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Christopher Deleon 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 8.9% 11.8% 22.8% 29.2% 4.5%
Daniel Vail 8.0% 10.8% 11.0% 9.3% 11.5% 11.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.0%
Chase Burwell 25.0% 19.9% 15.7% 12.7% 10.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 6.9% 6.4% 8.9% 8.2% 9.2% 9.2% 11.0% 12.5% 13.4% 9.6% 4.2% 0.5%
Mitchell Powell 7.9% 9.2% 7.9% 8.2% 9.5% 9.8% 10.7% 11.9% 11.6% 8.3% 4.5% 0.5%
Olivia Keefe 5.9% 6.8% 8.4% 10.2% 10.1% 9.5% 10.6% 13.2% 12.8% 8.5% 3.9% 0.1%
David Perez 8.3% 10.0% 8.2% 10.6% 10.5% 12.0% 11.6% 9.8% 9.0% 7.3% 2.6% 0.1%
John MacMoyle 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 5.3% 5.3% 7.6% 18.5% 40.1% 10.7%
Jacob Hickson 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 3.2% 8.6% 83.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.