← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Beaudry 6.5% 6.4% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 10.8% 11.6% 12.0% 13.0% 10.6% 4.7% 0.2%
Ian Willoughby 12.1% 15.0% 13.6% 13.6% 9.8% 11.3% 10.4% 6.8% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Chase Burwell 25.4% 20.1% 14.9% 11.5% 12.1% 6.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Preston Senior 15.0% 15.4% 16.1% 12.4% 12.5% 10.0% 7.9% 4.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Vail 8.8% 9.5% 11.4% 11.0% 11.1% 10.7% 9.6% 10.5% 9.0% 5.7% 2.5% 0.2%
Mitchell Powell 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 8.7% 9.0% 11.4% 11.5% 13.1% 10.7% 8.4% 4.4% 0.3%
Margaret MacCormack 6.8% 7.7% 8.1% 8.0% 10.0% 8.6% 11.9% 9.8% 13.1% 10.8% 5.0% 0.2%
John MacMoyle 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 7.3% 9.3% 16.3% 38.1% 9.5%
Christopher Deleon 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 6.5% 10.6% 10.9% 22.2% 28.4% 4.3%
David Perez 9.5% 9.1% 8.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.8% 9.9% 11.1% 10.2% 6.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Olivia Keefe 5.4% 5.3% 7.5% 9.5% 9.3% 10.8% 10.7% 10.9% 12.9% 11.9% 4.9% 0.9%
Jacob Hickson 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 2.9% 8.2% 84.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.