Race 4B

sp-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Chase Burwell 22.9% 19.3% 18.0% 12.1% 10.9% 7.5% 4.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Preston Senior 15.1% 15.3% 13.6% 14.8% 11.3% 10.0% 8.4% 5.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
David Beaudry 7.4% 6.0% 7.5% 8.5% 7.7% 9.6% 13.4% 12.7% 12.6% 10.2% 4.2% 0.2%
Mitchell Powell 5.5% 8.2% 8.2% 10.1% 10.5% 9.9% 10.7% 12.4% 10.7% 10.1% 3.3% 0.4%
Ian Willoughby 13.3% 12.5% 14.4% 12.8% 11.1% 10.9% 9.0% 6.5% 5.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Daniel Vail 9.5% 10.4% 8.2% 10.4% 11.6% 11.1% 11.5% 10.8% 8.6% 5.6% 2.3% 0.0%
Christopher Deleon 2.6% 2.8% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.3% 6.6% 8.0% 9.2% 23.5% 28.0% 5.5%
Margaret MacCormack 6.7% 7.1% 8.1% 8.0% 9.2% 11.2% 9.3% 12.3% 13.3% 9.7% 4.6% 0.5%
David Perez 7.6% 10.2% 10.0% 9.7% 12.9% 10.6% 11.6% 10.7% 8.9% 6.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Olivia Keefe 7.4% 6.4% 8.1% 8.3% 8.0% 11.6% 9.5% 12.5% 14.1% 8.4% 5.5% 0.2%
John MacMoyle 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 5.8% 9.0% 19.6% 39.2% 10.3%
Jacob Hickson 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 2.1% 2.7% 9.3% 82.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.