Race 5B

sp-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Preston Senior 16.1% 15.0% 12.9% 13.4% 11.4% 10.1% 8.4% 6.0% 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Chase Burwell 23.2% 21.0% 16.4% 12.6% 10.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Perez 6.9% 7.6% 10.1% 10.7% 11.1% 11.0% 10.9% 11.1% 7.8% 7.6% 4.2% 0.7% 0.3%
Daniel Vail 8.5% 9.9% 8.7% 11.8% 9.9% 10.2% 12.6% 9.4% 9.3% 5.8% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2%
David Beaudry 7.3% 6.7% 7.2% 9.2% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 12.0% 11.7% 9.3% 6.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Ian Willoughby 12.5% 14.6% 14.4% 11.1% 10.4% 10.2% 9.5% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 7.7% 6.4% 8.6% 7.3% 8.3% 8.4% 11.8% 10.1% 12.7% 10.5% 5.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Joseph Ricca 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 4.8% 6.4% 13.3% 19.4% 32.3% 8.1%
John MacMoyle 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 1.8% 2.7% 4.2% 3.7% 4.8% 7.1% 12.1% 23.1% 27.6% 7.2%
Mitchell Powell 7.4% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 11.3% 10.6% 9.7% 11.2% 10.4% 8.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.1%
Christopher Deleon 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 3.6% 4.1% 6.4% 5.3% 6.9% 10.0% 16.4% 19.8% 17.7% 4.0%
Olivia Keefe 5.7% 5.6% 7.2% 8.4% 8.8% 8.9% 9.9% 12.6% 12.9% 9.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.4%
Jacob Hickson 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.6% 0.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 3.5% 11.4% 79.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.