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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+3.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.59+1.36vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.37+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.29+6.14vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.16+4.77vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.99-1.40vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.63-1.50vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.29-2.48vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.53-4.19vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.26-5.67vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-2.09-0.54vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.12-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27University of South Florida2.160.2%1st Place
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3.36Jacksonville University2.590.2%1st Place
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6.3Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.5Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.53Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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5.81Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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12.46University of South Florida-2.090.0%1st Place
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9.43Florida State University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Senior | 15.4% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Burwell | 23.2% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.2% | 30.9% | 9.0% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 27.5% | 6.9% |
| Ian Willoughby | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| David Beaudry | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| David Perez | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Hickson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 10.5% | 78.6% |
| Christopher Deleon | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.