Race 6A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Meleny 10.4% 10.8% 13.2% 10.3% 14.6% 12.7% 15.6% 9.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 12.3% 14.2% 13.8% 16.2% 12.7% 13.7% 11.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
William Hutchings 14.8% 14.3% 17.1% 14.3% 14.2% 12.8% 8.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
William Hutchings 14.8% 14.3% 17.1% 14.3% 14.2% 12.8% 8.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Towill 29.8% 23.7% 17.8% 13.2% 8.8% 3.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Rollins 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 11.8% 13.0% 15.7% 18.1% 11.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 12.6% 11.3% 15.1% 14.0% 14.0% 13.4% 11.1% 6.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 8.3% 11.2% 29.8% 25.7% 11.0% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 9.2% 12.4% 10.9% 13.8% 14.0% 13.2% 14.5% 8.5% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 4.2% 15.1% 32.5% 37.7% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 3.4% 3.6% 11.0% 28.0% 49.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.