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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.02+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.07+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.14-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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8.62University of British Columbia0.070.0%1st Place
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3.95University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 20.2% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
| Aidan Chiu | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 32.5% |
| Michael Pacholski | 17.9% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smit | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Brian MacLean | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.