Race 2A

stoney-burke-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Wong 20.4% 19.1% 14.9% 14.4% 11.6% 8.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Hayden Potter 5.6% 5.1% 6.7% 6.8% 7.9% 8.5% 11.6% 12.4% 15.1% 13.1% 7.2%
Michael Pacholski 15.6% 15.8% 15.6% 12.8% 11.7% 10.5% 8.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.4%
Grace Yakutis 13.9% 12.9% 13.2% 13.5% 13.2% 11.9% 8.2% 7.0% 4.1% 1.1% 1.0%
Brian MacLean 6.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 10.7% 10.8% 14.1% 11.2% 7.1%
Elizabeth Hansen 8.9% 10.4% 9.2% 11.6% 10.2% 11.8% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 7.3% 2.5%
Cole Fargo 6.6% 6.6% 8.1% 7.6% 7.3% 11.1% 10.9% 13.0% 12.2% 11.1% 5.5%
Julian Weiswasser 2.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 9.6% 10.7% 18.6% 37.8%
Laura Smit 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 7.5% 9.7% 8.9% 11.2% 12.4% 12.6% 12.7% 6.0%
Aidan Chiu 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 7.0% 8.5% 12.4% 21.0% 31.3%
Caitlin Schadt 12.8% 12.7% 13.6% 11.1% 12.4% 11.0% 8.6% 8.3% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.