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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.87vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.58vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.56+4.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.07-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.14-6.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.02-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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4.87University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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10.26California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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8.96University of British Columbia0.070.0%1st Place
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3.99University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 14.5% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.3% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Potter | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 18.2% | 47.7% |
| Laura Smit | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Brian MacLean | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Chiu | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 15.5% |
| Michael Pacholski | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.