Race 4A

stoney-burke-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Grace Yakutis 12.9% 12.3% 12.9% 15.6% 10.8% 10.2% 7.9% 7.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Aidan Chiu 1.4% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.6% 5.4% 7.0% 6.2% 8.0% 12.0% 20.9% 28.1%
Elizabeth Hansen 9.7% 7.4% 9.4% 9.5% 9.9% 12.6% 9.3% 10.1% 10.0% 6.6% 4.2% 1.3%
Peter Wong 19.3% 19.6% 15.8% 12.0% 11.2% 8.0% 5.5% 5.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Caitlin Schadt 10.4% 11.9% 11.4% 12.6% 11.6% 10.4% 9.9% 6.8% 6.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Patrick Wilkinson 19.6% 15.8% 18.0% 11.1% 11.0% 8.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Cole Fargo 6.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.8% 9.0% 8.7% 9.6% 10.7% 9.9% 10.5% 10.0% 4.7%
Brian MacLean 6.2% 7.6% 5.2% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 12.8% 10.0% 8.2% 5.3%
Peter Schmidt 2.4% 3.3% 4.6% 4.4% 6.6% 7.4% 8.9% 10.2% 11.9% 14.1% 14.7% 11.5%
Hayden Potter 5.8% 5.2% 5.1% 6.7% 7.6% 8.1% 10.0% 11.4% 12.5% 11.8% 9.6% 6.2%
Laura Smit 5.0% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 7.9% 9.5% 10.9% 9.2% 11.9% 12.0% 8.6% 5.4%
Julian Weiswasser 1.3% 2.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 7.0% 7.6% 12.6% 18.9% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.