Race 5A

stoney-burke-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Wong 20.8% 20.5% 17.2% 14.6% 11.5% 7.2% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Pacholski 18.9% 18.7% 14.6% 14.6% 10.7% 9.4% 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Hayden Potter 5.5% 5.1% 7.4% 6.4% 8.3% 10.8% 13.2% 13.5% 13.6% 11.5% 4.7%
Grace Yakutis 14.0% 14.5% 14.3% 14.4% 13.8% 10.0% 8.3% 5.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Caitlin Schadt 13.6% 12.4% 13.2% 12.4% 12.1% 11.7% 10.5% 6.4% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Aidan Chiu 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 7.6% 10.6% 13.6% 23.4% 23.0%
Laura Smit 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 8.7% 11.7% 12.7% 10.7% 12.0% 12.0% 6.8% 3.2%
Cole Fargo 6.6% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 9.6% 10.9% 13.8% 11.4% 11.9% 9.5% 2.6%
Colin Bishop 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.7% 5.4% 6.5% 11.2% 16.8% 46.1%
Brian MacLean 7.0% 6.8% 9.1% 9.2% 9.8% 11.4% 11.0% 14.5% 9.9% 8.1% 3.2%
Whitney Ziesing 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.5% 6.7% 8.7% 12.2% 16.1% 20.2% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.