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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.36+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+5.95vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.99+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.72-3.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.25-4.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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8.95University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.48University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 24.8% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 37.4% |
| Sarah Alexander | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Eric Lyall | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Paul Chyz | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 22.4% | 32.9% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| James Melvin | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 22.0% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.