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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+4.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.36+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.72vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.75-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.09+2.81vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-3.82vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.99-3.69vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.25-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.31University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 24.6% | 21.5% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Alexander | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 21.5% | 33.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 21.8% | 33.9% |
| James Melvin | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| Erik Skeel | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Eric Lyall | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 4.6% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.