Race 3B

stoney-burke-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cuylar Zimmerman 22.2% 20.9% 17.1% 12.4% 10.4% 8.7% 3.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Skeel 9.2% 10.9% 12.0% 11.7% 10.2% 12.1% 10.5% 10.5% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Sarah Alexander 14.6% 10.5% 12.8% 12.3% 11.5% 11.0% 11.7% 8.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Paul Chyz 11.1% 13.9% 12.6% 12.5% 11.6% 12.0% 8.6% 8.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Annika Garrett 8.0% 7.8% 9.3% 8.9% 11.7% 9.8% 12.7% 9.9% 11.1% 7.6% 3.0% 0.2%
Drake Baldwin 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 4.3% 3.4% 5.6% 7.0% 12.5% 21.0% 27.8% 8.7%
James Melvin 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 7.5% 7.3% 10.0% 15.8% 17.2% 18.2% 4.5%
Ciara Dorsay 9.7% 9.1% 10.4% 11.0% 9.5% 10.0% 12.2% 11.1% 9.2% 4.8% 2.6% 0.4%
Nicolai Sponholtz 10.7% 12.4% 11.7% 12.0% 13.8% 10.3% 10.4% 9.0% 5.7% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Eric Lyall 6.8% 7.0% 6.2% 8.2% 8.7% 8.8% 12.3% 13.1% 13.0% 10.0% 5.3% 0.6%
Shaan Shridhar 2.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 5.3% 4.0% 8.7% 10.5% 21.6% 28.9% 10.0%
Erin Siekmann 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 5.2% 10.8% 75.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.