Race 4B

stoney-burke-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Erik Skeel 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 12.1% 11.3% 11.2% 10.3% 10.8% 6.9% 4.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Shaan Shridhar 1.6% 2.2% 1.7% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 6.6% 6.5% 10.0% 14.4% 23.2% 23.5%
Paul Chyz 13.5% 10.2% 12.2% 13.2% 10.9% 12.8% 9.4% 7.2% 6.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Cuylar Zimmerman 21.9% 20.8% 18.3% 13.1% 9.7% 5.3% 5.8% 3.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ciara Dorsay 7.9% 11.0% 9.3% 10.4% 9.3% 11.3% 10.1% 10.3% 8.2% 7.9% 3.5% 0.8%
Nicolai Sponholtz 10.9% 11.6% 10.2% 9.2% 13.9% 11.0% 10.8% 6.8% 8.1% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2%
James Melvin 3.4% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 6.2% 6.8% 6.6% 10.4% 11.7% 14.6% 16.1% 13.6%
Sarah Alexander 14.2% 13.0% 12.6% 12.1% 10.1% 10.5% 9.1% 9.2% 4.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Eric Lyall 4.7% 6.1% 9.1% 8.6% 9.1% 10.6% 10.9% 10.7% 12.8% 10.5% 5.2% 1.7%
Drake Baldwin 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 5.4% 7.3% 11.7% 15.8% 20.7% 21.5%
Kylee Walterman 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 1.6% 3.1% 4.7% 5.0% 7.8% 12.8% 21.1% 36.8%
Annika Garrett 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 9.1% 11.1% 10.4% 10.3% 12.1% 11.1% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.