Race 5B

stoney-burke-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sarah Alexander 14.1% 14.5% 14.0% 12.4% 12.1% 11.3% 8.5% 7.2% 5.0% 0.9%
Erik Skeel 11.0% 8.8% 13.6% 11.4% 12.5% 10.7% 12.3% 10.9% 6.8% 2.0%
Paul Chyz 13.2% 12.5% 13.0% 11.6% 12.1% 14.1% 10.1% 8.3% 4.2% 0.9%
Ciara Dorsay 8.0% 10.3% 9.3% 12.2% 11.8% 13.1% 13.8% 11.6% 7.2% 2.7%
Eric Lyall 6.3% 8.5% 6.1% 8.5% 7.8% 11.5% 14.2% 16.0% 14.0% 7.1%
Annika Garrett 9.5% 8.1% 9.5% 9.6% 11.3% 12.2% 11.4% 14.4% 10.0% 4.0%
Nicolai Sponholtz 9.2% 12.2% 12.4% 13.4% 14.0% 10.7% 12.0% 8.6% 5.5% 2.0%
Shaan Shridhar 1.4% 2.6% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 6.3% 11.5% 22.6% 40.7%
Cuylar Zimmerman 25.6% 20.2% 15.3% 14.8% 11.2% 5.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Drake Baldwin 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 7.3% 9.4% 23.9% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.