Race 7A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mark Towill 31.8% 22.6% 19.1% 13.0% 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 8.1% 12.2% 15.1% 15.5% 15.1% 16.0% 11.5% 5.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 8.6% 11.9% 12.1% 13.7% 14.9% 15.8% 14.4% 7.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 10.8% 11.2% 12.7% 15.1% 14.5% 14.5% 14.0% 5.9% 1.3% 0.0%
William Hutchings 18.1% 17.7% 15.7% 13.1% 14.6% 9.4% 7.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
William Hutchings 18.1% 17.7% 15.7% 13.1% 14.6% 9.4% 7.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 13.2% 15.1% 15.4% 15.5% 15.7% 13.1% 8.6% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.2% 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 5.3% 8.9% 15.4% 40.2% 19.4% 0.0%
Stephen Sweriduk 6.4% 5.3% 6.0% 9.8% 11.1% 14.4% 21.7% 20.1% 5.2% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 3.2% 5.4% 14.1% 71.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.