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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.38+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.39vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.00-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.10vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.46-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of Southern California2.330.5%1st Place
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2.35University of California at Berkeley1.660.3%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley0.380.1%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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4.54San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.05San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wagner | 53.1% | 28.8% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drake Hayes | 26.1% | 36.1% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 7.0% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
| Alexis Miller | 4.4% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 22.5% | 18.9% | 8.9% |
| Thomas Rall | 4.4% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 12.5% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 50.4% |
| Adam Wild | 3.3% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 27.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.