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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.38vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.46+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.38-0.95vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.00-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7University of Southern California2.330.5%1st Place
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2.37University of California at Berkeley1.660.3%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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5.23San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Berkeley0.380.1%1st Place
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4.52San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wagner | 54.1% | 28.9% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Drake Hayes | 25.6% | 36.3% | 21.4% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexis Miller | 5.9% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 9.7% |
| Adam Wild | 1.5% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 26.4% | 25.4% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 6.2% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 6.6% |
| Thomas Rall | 4.8% | 7.3% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 11.2% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.