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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.38+1.01vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.00+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.62vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.46-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of California at Berkeley1.660.3%1st Place
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1.73University of Southern California2.330.5%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Berkeley0.380.1%1st Place
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4.58San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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5.14San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 28.1% | 32.8% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| James Wagner | 51.7% | 31.6% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 6.7% | 10.1% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Rall | 3.9% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 11.1% |
| Alexis Miller | 5.4% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 9.4% |
| Adam Wild | 2.5% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 24.7% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.