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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.38+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.38vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.00-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.10vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.46-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of California at Berkeley1.660.3%1st Place
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1.73University of Southern California2.330.5%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley0.380.1%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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4.54San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.04San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 27.7% | 32.9% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| James Wagner | 51.0% | 32.2% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 6.7% | 9.8% | 21.8% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Alexis Miller | 4.7% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 8.8% |
| Thomas Rall | 4.6% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 12.4% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 50.1% |
| Adam Wild | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 27.4% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.