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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.38+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61University of Southern California2.330.6%1st Place
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2.1University of California at Berkeley1.660.3%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Berkeley0.380.1%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wagner | 56.1% | 30.1% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Drake Hayes | 28.4% | 41.8% | 21.9% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexandre Mutricy | 8.0% | 13.8% | 32.4% | 33.2% | 12.6% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.5% | 3.3% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 67.6% |
| Alexis Miller | 6.0% | 11.0% | 25.3% | 38.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.