← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley1.78+1.15vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.61+0.29vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine-0.92+2.61vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.00vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University-0.99-0.28vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.25-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15University of California at Berkeley1.780.4%1st Place
-
2.29University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
-
5.61University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
-
3.56University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.72San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
-
4.67San Diego State University-0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Payne | 39.0% | 27.1% | 19.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mason Comerford | 32.2% | 30.4% | 20.9% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christian Parizea | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 26.9% | 38.3% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 11.0% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 5.8% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 26.3% | 40.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 26.1% | 22.3% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.