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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.64+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.78+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.61-0.71vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.99+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.92+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.01vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.25-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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2.12University of California at Berkeley1.780.4%1st Place
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2.29University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
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5.78San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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4.65San Diego State University-0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Todosiev | 13.6% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 22.4% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Holden Payne | 37.9% | 30.3% | 19.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mason Comerford | 31.5% | 32.1% | 20.1% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 27.1% | 41.8% |
| Christian Parizea | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 27.4% | 38.4% |
| Keelin Davis | 8.7% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 14.2% | 4.6% |
| Gillian Dean | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 21.4% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.