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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.78+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.61+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.54vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.99+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.92-0.35vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.25-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of California at Berkeley1.780.4%1st Place
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2.27University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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5.81San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.63San Diego State University-0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Payne | 40.7% | 26.8% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Mason Comerford | 32.4% | 31.8% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 10.8% | 15.3% | 24.2% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 27.4% | 41.9% |
| Keelin Davis | 7.6% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 13.3% | 5.2% |
| Christian Parizea | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 26.3% | 37.6% |
| Gillian Dean | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 23.9% | 23.3% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.