Race 8A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rob Struckett 13.7% 15.5% 13.4% 16.7% 13.8% 13.7% 9.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 9.0% 12.7% 13.9% 15.9% 16.2% 14.0% 11.6% 5.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Mark Towill 32.6% 22.6% 16.7% 12.6% 8.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 10.3% 10.7% 14.7% 13.0% 14.9% 15.7% 12.9% 6.8% 1.0% 0.0%
William Hutchings 17.2% 19.2% 15.8% 13.5% 11.5% 12.1% 7.0% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephen Sweriduk 4.5% 5.6% 7.9% 9.1% 12.0% 13.5% 23.9% 19.1% 4.4% 0.0%
William Hutchings 17.2% 19.2% 15.8% 13.5% 11.5% 12.1% 7.0% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 8.8% 10.6% 13.4% 13.8% 15.3% 16.0% 14.1% 6.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.6% 8.2% 14.2% 38.8% 21.2% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 1.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.0% 5.2% 15.8% 70.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.