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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+8.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+4.35vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50+4.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.26vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81+1.50vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+8.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.95vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14+1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.01vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-3.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.48+1.54vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.58+3.77vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.59-5.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.80vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.71-3.68vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.72-4.88vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.16vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.80-7.08vs Predicted
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20Boston University2.51-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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15.96Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.28Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.54Tufts University2.480.0%1st Place
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16.77University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.32Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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13.3Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 23.8% |
| Mack Fox | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Will La Dow | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% |
| Noah Janssen | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 40.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Dane Byerly | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Reed Lorimer | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.