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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+5.39vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.91vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+3.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+1.31vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.40vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.72+5.60vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+3.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.86vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.48+3.37vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.59-3.37vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.51+0.56vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.88vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.58+0.47vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.88-1.47vs Predicted
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18Cornell University3.14-7.55vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.71-6.74vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.80-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.6Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.37Tufts University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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13.56Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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16.47University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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15.53Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.45Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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12.26Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Will La Dow | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Julien Guiot | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 36.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 23.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.