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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.50+7.93vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+10.17vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+7.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+3.56vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.72+7.40vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+7.47vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.09-0.28vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41+1.19vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71+3.50vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.59-1.45vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.44vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.74-3.88vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.65vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.73vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.48-4.40vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University2.46-5.42vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.58-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.4Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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13.47Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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13.6Tufts University2.480.0%1st Place
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13.58Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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16.82University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Matt Cappetta | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Telmo Basterra | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.