Race 9A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rob Struckett 11.8% 12.7% 15.4% 15.5% 14.5% 12.0% 9.8% 4.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 15.3% 16.6% 16.5% 13.5% 12.7% 11.7% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 9.6% 8.1% 11.5% 13.9% 10.9% 15.3% 13.3% 10.4% 5.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 10.9% 11.7% 13.3% 14.0% 14.3% 13.1% 10.3% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Mark Towill 30.6% 25.5% 16.0% 11.4% 7.6% 5.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 8.8% 12.0% 11.9% 11.6% 14.5% 12.6% 12.0% 9.0% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Stevens 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 10.8% 18.7% 18.8% 16.7% 4.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 15.3% 16.6% 16.5% 13.5% 12.7% 11.7% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Stephen Sweriduk 5.3% 5.5% 7.4% 8.8% 10.3% 11.8% 15.7% 14.4% 13.5% 6.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.7% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.9% 9.2% 16.8% 24.0% 18.7% 9.5% 0.0%
Bogdan Istrate 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 4.3% 6.3% 12.6% 26.1% 42.5% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% 2.1% 4.3% 6.5% 12.4% 27.0% 42.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.