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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+6.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+4.92vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+3.45vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.36vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+2.98vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.18vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41+1.08vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71+3.25vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.88+5.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.70vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.14-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.01vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.58+2.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.73vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.51-2.79vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.48-3.68vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston4.09-11.51vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.72-6.77vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.80-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.47University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.92Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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10.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.25Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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15.71Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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16.6University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.21Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.32Tufts University2.480.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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12.23Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Dane Byerly | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 23.9% |
| Mack Fox | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Noah Janssen | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 37.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.