← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.37vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.81+5.51vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.50+6.00vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.84vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston4.09+1.39vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.71+6.55vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University3.41+2.49vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.72+4.18vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.59-0.66vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University3.14+0.50vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.80+1.09vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.21vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.38vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-7.64vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.74-7.17vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.88-0.40vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.51-3.86vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.63-9.66vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University2.48-5.68vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin1.58-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.51Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
9.0Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.39College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
12.55Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.49George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
12.18Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.34University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.5Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
-
12.09University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.83Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
15.6Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
13.14Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
13.32Tufts University2.480.0%1st Place
-
16.74University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Mack Fox | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 23.9% |
| Reed Lorimer | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julien Guiot | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.