← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.88vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University3.43+4.75vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.89+6.20vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.56+2.28vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.51+5.80vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.72+3.99vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.06+1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.74+5.99vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.58+1.43vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.48vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.31vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.27+0.15vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-2.70vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-5.26vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.86-1.41vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida2.64-5.86vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College1.95-3.81vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.40-6.53vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin0.72-1.64vs Predicted
-
20Tufts University2.32-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
6.75Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
9.2Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
6.28Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.8Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
-
9.99George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.63Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
-
13.99University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
-
10.43College of Charleston2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
-
7.69U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
12.15Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
-
10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
13.59University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of South Florida2.640.1%1st Place
-
13.19Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.47Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
-
17.36University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.92Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Romain Screve | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% |
| Dirk Johnson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Shane Riera | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Brendan Feeney | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Tye Rubin | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 51.2% |
| Samuel Shea | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.