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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.85vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.95+11.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+7.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+3.66vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+4.08vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43+0.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+3.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+1.78vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.25vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.58+0.60vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.06-2.52vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.27+0.24vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.64-2.37vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-2.22vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.56-8.67vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.72-6.12vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.40-5.79vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-1.41vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont1.74-4.86vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania1.86-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.41Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.98Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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10.6College of Charleston2.580.0%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.24Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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10.63University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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11.78Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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16.59University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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14.14University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Shane Riera | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Dirk Johnson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Brendan Feeney | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Shea | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Romain Screve | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 38.9% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.