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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.60vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.06+6.39vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+2.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51+5.79vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.95+7.58vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.56-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.86+5.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74+5.21vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.72-0.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.44vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.98vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-3.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.27-2.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.02vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.40-4.58vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.58-6.66vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.32-6.11vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.09-2.53vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida2.64-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.81Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.79Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.58Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.52Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.98George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.92Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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11.42Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston2.580.0%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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10.41University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Romain Screve | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Shane Riera | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Tucker Hersam | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Dirk Johnson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 38.8% |
| Brendan Feeney | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.