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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+5.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.68vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.64+7.41vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.06+4.39vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.86+7.90vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.22vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+1.69vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89+0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.52vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.51-0.06vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-5.52vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.95+0.75vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.40-2.62vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.58-4.45vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.32-4.25vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.27-5.20vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.74-3.64vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-9.02vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.09-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.41University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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13.9University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.69George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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10.94Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.75Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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11.38Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.55College of Charleston2.580.1%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.8Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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16.62University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Feeney | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Romain Screve | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Dirk Johnson | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Gerard Eastman | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 15.7% |
| Shane Riera | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.