Race 10A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Hutchings 12.9% 16.3% 17.2% 15.0% 13.4% 11.1% 8.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Stevens 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.9% 7.9% 11.8% 17.9% 21.8% 15.5% 5.5% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 11.0% 11.7% 13.2% 13.5% 13.1% 14.5% 10.6% 7.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Mark Towill 29.6% 22.2% 18.7% 13.1% 8.2% 4.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 10.7% 10.6% 10.9% 11.7% 13.7% 13.5% 12.3% 9.4% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 12.8% 15.4% 15.1% 14.5% 11.8% 11.5% 9.0% 6.5% 2.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 10.8% 11.5% 12.4% 12.5% 15.1% 11.1% 11.4% 9.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.9% 16.3% 17.2% 15.0% 13.4% 11.1% 8.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.7% 2.2% 2.5% 4.3% 4.9% 7.1% 11.4% 15.5% 20.9% 20.4% 8.1% 0.0%
Stephen Sweriduk 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 7.5% 10.1% 11.8% 16.4% 14.9% 14.6% 6.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Bogdan Istrate 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 2.0% 1.7% 3.4% 3.5% 7.6% 11.6% 26.0% 42.2% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 6.1% 12.9% 27.2% 41.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.