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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.56+4.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+7.98vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.86+9.78vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.80vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.06+2.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+3.30vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.27vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.40+2.26vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.27+2.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.89-1.79vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-5.03vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.64-2.40vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-3.51vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.58-4.45vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.32-4.35vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.74-2.85vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.72-7.98vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.09-2.52vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.95-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.27Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.98Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.26Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.05Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.97Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.6University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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10.55College of Charleston2.580.0%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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16.48University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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13.6Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Romain Screve | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Shane Riera | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Gerard Eastman | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Feeney | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Dirk Johnson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 39.4% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.